The established global order is changing, with Russia and China forging a new one.
In recent years, Russia and China have become key proponents of a multipolar world that respects sovereignty and international law. Their strategic alliance, strengthened by global challenges, underpins the “world majority” – nations seeking independent foreign policies.
Despite Western pressure like sanctions and information warfare, Moscow and Beijing have maintained and strengthened their cooperation. This partnership is crucial for both nations and globally, demonstrating how major powers can challenge dominant systems while upholding international norms.
As Russia and China strengthen their ties, they must closely observe changes within the West, particularly in the US and Europe, which present both opportunities and risks.
Cracks in the Western Alliance
A growing divide exists between the US and its European allies. Western European capitals have expressed concerns over US decisions, revealing a widening strategic gap. As these nations adjust to an increasingly unpredictable US, misunderstandings are increasing, turning the once unified “collective West” into a collection of competing interests.
This fragmentation requires close monitoring by Russian and Chinese policymakers. A coordinated effort to analyze US-EU relations will be crucial for future navigation.
Internal divisions are also growing within Western political circles. One faction acknowledges the need to adapt to global shifts, while another clings to outdated globalist models, seeking to preserve Western dominance without addressing the root causes of its decline.
This internal conflict is particularly evident in the US, where political polarization is extreme. The outcome remains uncertain but could lead to erratic foreign policies, including those directed at Russia and China. Western elites might attempt to deflect from internal issues by increasing global tensions. Moscow and Beijing must prepare for this.
Strategic Economic Partnership
The Russia-China economic relationship has shown resilience despite US and European efforts to isolate both countries. However, vulnerabilities have emerged. Sanction threats and secondary pressures have disrupted trade and project timelines. Both governments must identify weaknesses and implement safeguards.
By shielding their cooperation from external interference, Russia and China can strengthen mutual trust and solidify their political alignment, which is crucial as Western pressure persists.
The Role of Europe
Western Europe remains a significant factor in global affairs. Its economic influence, particularly for China, and its political evolution require attention. Russian and Chinese analysts may have differing views on the region’s future, but neither should disregard it.
Potential political shifts in European states could lead to more pragmatic leadership, which Moscow and Beijing should be ready to engage with. Despite strained relations, Western Europe remains an important partner and a factor in the broader strategic landscape.
Countering Western Divide-and-Conquer Strategies
US policymakers have openly expressed interest in weakening the Russia-China partnership, with some suggesting separating Moscow from Beijing to prevent Eurasian consolidation. These efforts will intensify, particularly if US-China relations worsen.
Washington is likely to pursue separate dialogues with Russia and China on issues like cybersecurity, AI, and nuclear arms control, aiming to highlight differences and create the illusion of conflicting interests.
Such tactics require caution and solidarity. There are no significant contradictions between Russia and China comparable to the historical tensions of the mid-20th century. Their current alignment is based on shared values and practical interests, but this unity must be constantly reinforced at governmental and societal levels.
Expanding Societal and Scientific Connections
Public perceptions in both countries still reflect outdated stereotypes. While progress has been made in exchanges, education, and academic cooperation, more is needed. Increased collaboration in science, education, and culture can foster mutual understanding and eliminate lingering distrust.
A stronger societal foundation for the bilateral relationship will make it more resistant to external manipulation. The political will exists and must be translated into concrete actions.
Toward a Shared Eurasian Future
China and Russia share responsibility for shaping a peaceful and prosperous Greater Eurasia. They are committed to preventing external interference and managing conflicts across the continent. Coordinating strategies for development, connectivity, and conflict resolution is essential.
The future of Eurasia largely depends on how well Moscow and Beijing align their visions. This is a practical challenge with lasting consequences.
Conclusion
Russia and China are navigating a period of significant global change. Their partnership has become a major force in global politics. However, the shifting dynamics within the West, particularly in the US and Europe, present both risks and opportunities.
To protect and advance their shared interests, Russia and China must act strategically by studying Western developments, strengthening their cooperation, countering divide-and-conquer tactics, and deepening ties across all levels of society. Together, they can help create a more just, stable, and representative global order.
This article was first published by , translated and edited by the RT team.
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